• corbindallas@fedinsfw.app
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    1 hour ago

    bitch ass also said magnets stop working in water.

    oh, and he’s a pedophile

    and a rapist

    and a cannibal, allegedly

    he lies more than any official since george washington

    track what he does, not what he says. octogenarian nazi fuck

  • floquant@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    4 hours ago

    traders on prediction markets don’t think so, at least not for some time.

    There’s just a four percent chance on Polymarket that Trump will acquire Greenland before 2027.

    On Kalshi, there’s just a 6.8 percent chance the US will acquire any new territory before 2027, though the odds are slightly better on a longer timeline. There’s a 22 percent chance the US will acquire a new territory before Trump’s term ends on January 20, 2029.

    🤮 Why the actual fuck are journalists reporting on what “prediction markets” “think”? Between this and “which Europeans see as a violation of Greenland’s sovereignty” this article seems to casually legitimize trump’s claim

    • HazardousBanjo@lemmy.world
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      2 hours ago

      The only reason to consider them (which is not what the media is doing) is because we’ve already confirmed Trump and likely countless other corrupt goons of his have been placing massive bets on events they know for a fact Trump is going to act on. Insider “gambling”.

    • melsaskca@lemmy.ca
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      52 minutes ago

      Journalists reporting on prediction markets aren’t journalists. They’re opinion writers. They need to stir up possible intigues in order to get those clicks for cash.

    • empireOfLove2@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      4 hours ago

      I think they have (unfortunately correctly) realized that the prediction markets can be bastardized into a quick and dirty public opinion poll without needing to do any of that dirty icky work like sending out questionaires or controlling statistical poll biases

      • brvslvrnst@lemmy.ml
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        55 minutes ago

        Some also have advertising deals with those prediction markets, so them saying things about it is really just a quick ad break in some cases 🫠

      • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
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        2 hours ago

        Worse, prediction markets measure what people with money (AKA the ruling class) think is going to happen. Given their higher access to information and people to more or less objectively process that information, that means you’d expect a decent correlation between prediction market predictions and reality.

      • floquant@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        2 hours ago

        Indeed, I am tired of “public” opinion (which is more wall-street-type-dudes’ opinion) being even considered on matters like this. I don’t care if 100% of Americans support it or have resigned to it happening, the only opinion that matters is Greenland’s, as unless they democratically decide to join the US (no chance of that happening anytime soon), anything else is an invasion plain and simple, no matter if polymarket says that will make line go up

        • NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io
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          2 hours ago

          I don’t care if 100% of Americans support it or have resigned to it happening,

          I mean you should, because if a critical mass of Americans supports it it’s gonna happen. Welcome to the business end of American imperialism.