My Prediction.

Plus the Democrats to pick up 6 Senate seats.

Stasis In The USA ELection.

On the subject of electoral maps, it's interesting to see that according to Real Clear Politics, the state by state political map of the USA hasn't changed in 4 weeks despite considerable poll fluctuations in that time. The electoral college vote would probably have been 273 for Obama to 265 for McCain had an election taken place at any point in the last few weeks. I can't copy the maps onto here unfortunately.

Image Of The Day.

Politics Home published a survey of marginal constituencies, as it featured 34000 people we can assume it is exceptionally reliable survey, opinion polls are usually only conducted with about 1000 respondents. This is what the political map of Great Britain would look like if an election were held tomorrow:


I realise that Conservative constituencies tend to be physically larger than Labour ones but it must be a pretty startling map for Labour supporters.