
I'm continuing my
awards show coverage with a category I foreshadowed in
Bad Bunny's Super Bowl Halftime Show leads Outstanding Variety Special (Live) at the Emmys, Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded). Here are the nominees at the
Creative Arts Emmy Awards.
Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded)
- Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable... (Netflix)
- The Muppet Show (Disney+)
- Nikki Glaser: Good Girl (Hulu)
- Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour | The Final Show (Disney+)
- Wicked: One Wonderful Night (NBC)
The Muppet Show and
Wicked: One Wonderful Night co-lead with six nominations each, followed by
Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour | The Final Show with five,
Nikki Glaser: Good Girl with three, and
Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable... with two.
Gold Derby's prediction page for the Creative Arts Emmy Awards also has
The Muppet Show leading with 90% of experts, 33.3% of editors, and 71.3% of users electing it to win. They reverse
Wicked: One Wonderful Night and
Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour | The Final Show as the latter has the vote of the remaining 10% of experts and 66.7% of editors plus 18.0% while the former only has the support of 8.2% of users. The professionals are split! The users also reverse
Nikki Glaser: Good Girl and
Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable... with the former ranked fifth at 0.8% and the latter in fourth with 1.6%.

Outstanding Character Voice-Over Performance
- Pamela Adlon – King of the Hill: "Any Given Hill-Day" as Bobby Hill (Hulu)
- Julie Andrews – Bridgerton: "The Waltz" as Lady Whistledown (Netflix)
- Hank Azaria – The Simpsons: "Keep Chalm and Gary On" as Gary Chalmers (Fox)
- Trey Parker – South Park: "The Crap Out" as Satan (Comedy Central)
- Matt Vogel – The Muppet Show as Kermit the Frog (Disney+)
- Steven Yeun – Invincible: "Don't Leave Me Hanging Here" as Mark Grayson / Invincible (Prime Video)
Julie Andrews leads with every expert, 66.7% of editors, and 79.6% of Gold Derby users selecting her to win. She's followed by Pamela Adlon with the remaining 33.3% of editors and 12.4% of users. The rest of the users are split among Trey Parker with 4.4%, Matt Vogel with 1.8%, then Hank Azaria and Steven Yeun tied at 0.9%.
Outstanding Writing for a Variety Special
- Chris Fleming: Live at the Palace – Chris Fleming (HBO)
- The Muppet Show – Albertina Rizzo, Gabe Liedman, Nedaa Sweiss, Kelly Younger, and Andrew Williams (Disney+)
- Nikki Glaser: Good Girl – Nikki Glaser (Hulu)
- The Oscars – Amberia Allen, Jose Arroyo, Josh Comers, Dan Cronin, Jessie Gaskell, Skyler Higley, Berkley Johnson, Ian Karmel, Brian Kiley, Laurie Kilmartin, Carol Leifer, Todd Levin, Jon Macks, Conan O'Brien, Matt O'Brien, Agathe Panaretos, Mike Sweeney, Levi MacDougall, and Eric Roth (ABC)
- Wanda Sykes: Legacy – Wanda Sykes (Netflix)
Gold Derby predicts
The Muppet Show will win this award, too, with every editor, 50% of editors, and 87.9% of users picking it. The remaining 50% of editors and 4.3% of users chose
Chris Fleming: Live at the Palace to upset. The rest of the user vote is split among
Nikki Glaser: Good Girl at 6.9% and
Wanda Sykes: Legacy at 0.9%.
The Oscars have no support at all!
Now for the categories I covered in
Bad Bunny's Super Bowl Halftime Show leads Outstanding Variety Special (Live) at the Emmys beginning with two that Gold Derby handicapped.

Outstanding Directing for a Variety Special
- The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny – Hamish Hamilton (NBC)
- Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable... – Rikki Hughes (Netflix)
- Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour: The Final Show – Glenn Weiss (Disney+)
- 78th Annual Tony Awards – Glenn Weiss (CBS)
- Wanda Sykes: Legacy – Julie Dash (Netflix)
Once again, every expert and editor plus 94.3% of users have Hamish Hamilton taking home the statuette. Glenn Weiss for both Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour: The Final Show and 78th Annual Tony Awards ties himself at 2.9% each, so he has a combined 6.8 5.8% chance, while no one thinks Rikki Hughes for Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable... and Julie Dash for Wanda Sykes: Legacy have a chance.
Despite my using the Twitter/X publicity image for
Dave Chappelle: The Unstoppable..., Gold Derby still thinks its director has no chance. On the other hand, users are trickling away from
The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny to Glenn Weiss's projects, splitting their votes evenly at 3.5% for 7% total. I'm not convinced.
Outstanding Music Direction
- The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny – Miguel Gandelman (NBC)
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert: "The Late Show with Stephen Colbert Series Finale" – Louis Cato (CBS)
- The Oscars – Michael Bearden (ABC)
- Saturday Night Live: "Host: Jack Black" – Lenny Pickett, Leon Pendarvis, Eli Brueggemann, and Maddie Rice (NBC)
- Wicked: One Wonderful Night – Stephen Oremus (NBC)
For the third and final time, every expert and editor along with 90.1% of users think The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny will win, giving Miguel Gandelman an Emmy. Wicked: One Wonderful Night notched 9.1% of users, The Oscars 0.8%, and the rest of the field earned no votes at all.
This may be
Wicked: One Wonderful Night's best shot at winning, but even here user opinion is consolidating around
The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny with 91.6% and all the rest with
Wicked: One Wonderful Night at 8.4%. The users have abandoned
The Oscars, which has joined the rest of the field without any votes at all.
Follow over the jump for the craft categories.