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Showing posts from July, 2026

By election round up

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 Aggregate Result of the 87 Council By-Elections Since the 2026 Local Elections from Election Maps: Party name, seats won (net change in brackets), vote share (change in brackets) Reform: 17 (+6) | 23% (+12) Conservative: 17 (+1) | 19% (-1) Liberal Democrats: 15 (-) | 15% (-) Labour: 11 (-4) | 16% (-6) Green: 10 (+1) | 15% (-1) Welsh Nationalists (PLC): 9 (-1) | 4% (+1) Independent: 5 (-3) | 5% (-3) Scottish Nationalist (SNP: 2 (+2) | 2% (-1) Local: 1 (-2) | 1% (-2) Looks to me like anyone who tells you that a party they don't like is "dead" or "doomed" is indulging in wishful thinking. There is everything to play for.

Kemi on Climate Change

"Net zero scepticism is not climate-change denial Net-zero scepticism is too often confused with climate change scepticism. But they are not the same thing. It is an elementary distinction, but an important one. Climate change is a scientific phenomenon. Net zero by 2050 is a political programme. One can accept the science while questioning whether a particular collection of laws, subsidies, targets and prohibitions will actually solve the problem. The current net zero 2050 plans do not. That is my position and has been my position for years. Yet writing in The Telegraph on Wednesday Ambrose Evans Pritchard accused me of flirting with “climate nihilism”. He warns that the Conservatives are becoming Trumpian and trying to stop the clock on technological progress. Unfortunately, he has either not listened to what I have said, or has decided that my argument would be easier to attack if he replaced it with a different one. Climate change is real. We can see its effects all over the w...

The soft bigotry of low expectations

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The previous secretary of state for education, Bridget Phillipson, was not exactly popular with Conservatives from Kemi Badenoch down.  We argued at the last election that the policy of taxing independent schools would not stop the very rich from sending their children to the likes of Eton and Harrow but would stop some of the less-well-off who would otherwise have scrimped and saved to send their children to schools which they thought would give them a better life, thereby paying twice and saving the state the cost of educating those children. Sure enough, 2026 data suggests that Labour's taxes on private education have resulted in a 30,000 drop in the number of children attending them, a 3.5% fall in enrolment. This is a larger fall and a faster one than ministers had planned for. Exactly as Conservatives and others predicted, far from helping the great majority of children who attend state schools, that means 30,000 more children having to fit into the same, now more overcrowded...

Kemi's plans for Britain

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  Kemi has it sussed out.  While the other leaders are still fighting internal battles, external investigations or are simply moribund, the Conservatives have a new party. - A new inclusive culture of like minded Conservatives - New candidate selection rules and training - New policies enriched by members' contributions - Legally sound exit from the ECHR - A UK 'Bill of Rights' (and responsibilities!) - A suite of economic policies to revive the UK, reduce taxes, and grow the economy. A recipe for Common Sense Government 

Quote of the day 30th July 2026

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"We always work with the grain of human nature. The grain of human nature is this: if people are given an incentive they will work harder, they will want more income to give their families a better standard of living to buy their own houses, or to buy extra pensions for themselves, so we gave incentives. And we knew if we got taxation down, ironically, we would get more income in." Margaret Thatcher.

Quote of the day 28th July 2026

“The grand fallacy of the political left is that evil is localized in some set of ' oppressors ' from whom we can be ' liberated. ' That is also its great attraction, for it allows people to attribute their dissatisfaction to other people.” (Thomas Sowell)

Bill Oddie RIP

Bill Oddie, one of the funniest comedians I ever saw, has died at the age of 85. To those of us of a certain generation, he will always be remembered as one of the madcap comedy trio "The Goodies" along with Tim Brooke-Taylor and Graeme Garden. He was also a keen naturalist and wildlife supporter and a campaigner for birds in particular. Rest in Peace.

Kemi on the problem with Burnham's economics

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  Taxes were already far too high as a result of the pandemic even before Labour came to power. Rachel Reeves raised them even higher, to record levels for peacetime. That's why Andy Burnham should rule out tax rises to pay for his spending spree. When Rachel Reeves raised taxes we all saw the consequences which came after that. Labour never understands: money needs to be made before it can be spent. Businesses are not cash machines for politicians.

Quote of the day 25th July 2026

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  Fiyaz Mughal, the founder of Faith Matters and Tell MAMA and Muslims Against Antisemitism says of the proposals by the Greens on Hackney council to scrap the twinning arrangement with Haifa,: "Shunning even a model of Jewish-Arab cooperation as morally tainted raises an uncomfortable question: has political activism crossed into antisemitic exclusion?"  From a Jewish Chronical article which you can read at: If Hackney’s Greens cared about peace, they wouldn’t cut ties with Haifa – Israel’s city of coexistence - The Jewish Chronicle

Quote of the day 22nd July 2026

I don't aften quote Labour MPs sympathetically, but no party has a monopoly of wisdom or virtue, and Labour MP Luke Akehurst made a good point today in response to the plans by Green councillors on Hackney council to scrap that council's twinning arrangement with Haifa. This is what he posted today: " As a former Hackney Councillor for 12 years I'm disgusted by the performative and spiteful gesture politics of the Greens proposing that Hackney ends its twinning arrangement with Haifa in Israel, which has existed since 1968.  The twinning happened because Hackney's large Jewish community had family and personal links there.  Haifa is a famously left-wing city (ironically the Israeli Greens are quite strong there) that is a model for coexistence between Jews and Arabs. The twinning arrangement includes medical exchanges between the Homerton and Rambam hospitals. If you want peace between Israel and the Palestinians you should support initiatives that bring people tog...

Summary of cabinet changes

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Thanks to Election Maps for publishing a summary of Andy Burnham's cabinet changes in an easy-to-understand table. There were one or two good appointments. The replacement of Rachel Reeves by John Healy might just mean that the new PM is serious about funding defence properly and the appointment of Wes Streeting as defence secretary may confirm that. Streeting is the Labour party's equivalent of Michael Gove - a politician who is hated by most of those on his own side and loathed by almost everyone else but is nevertheless one of the most competent people the party concerned has. (If it is true, as has been rumoured, that Rachel Reeves was offered the post of defence secretary I can only assume this was a way of inducing her to walk. The thought of Reeves having to make the case to John Healy for defence spending is almost as funny as Nigel Farage having to fight for his political life against a comedian with a bin on his head, but for that very reason I can't see that she ...

Quote of the day 20th July 2026

 Kemi Badenoch on Britain's new PM: "Today, Britain has a new Prime Minister. I wish Andy Burnham well, because Britain needs a government that fixes the country’s problems. But I am concerned because: He has got the keys to Number 10 without first setting out a clear plan for government. Keir Starmer leaves behind higher welfare spending, rising unemployment, soaring energy costs, record debt interest and taxes that are holding back growth. Britain cannot afford more of the same. We know Labour MPs only care about increasing benefits. As the Welfare Secretary himself admitted, every meeting with a Labour MP is about who they can tax to raise benefits. That's why I say that changing Prime Minister isn't a silver bullet. The problem wasn't just Keir Starmer, it was the whole Labour Party. The Conservative Party understands that we must reflect on where we went wrong in our time in office. Governments should seek a mandate for their plans before taking office, not de...

Quote of the day 19th July 2026

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“The longer you can look back, the farther you can look forward”. ( Winston Churchill ) The above gives the words that Churchill actually used and recorded as a maxim. An alternative version, often wrongly attributed to Churchill as it corresponds closely to the idea he was putting forward but not strictly an accurate quote, is given here as well because I like this form of words.

This week's PMQs

Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) is an important part of how the UK's executive is held to account. It is naive in the extreme to expect that the exchanges at PMQs will not sometimes be extremely robust, and I have no time whatsoever for the hypocrisy of those Labour members and supporters who clutch their pearly and complain how nasty Kemi Badenoch is to Labour MPs and ministers yet supported Sir Keir Starmer when he made very robust comments about her. Especially given that few of them made any protest when Angela Rayner called Conservatives "scum" or David Lammy suggested that Brexiteers were worse than Nazis. However, there are times when a less hostile tone is called for, and I thought the exchanges on Wednesday this week were a good example of tis being done extremely well. Kemi Badenoch praised Sir Keir Starmer's support for Ukraine - which I think was the right thing to do, I don't agree with very much that he has done, but support for Ukraine is one ...

Quote of the day 17th July 2026

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“Economics is a study of cause-and-effect relationships in an economy. Its purpose is to discern the consequences of various ways of allocating resources which have alternative uses. It has nothing to say about philosophy or values, anymore than it has to say about music or literature.” — Thomas Sowell

They didn't win: but congratulations to England on a great World Cup effort

Yesterday was only the fourth time ever that an England men's football team has reached the semi-finals of the World Cup. Had they progressed to the final it would have been the first time since 19666, when they won sixty years ago, that England had done so. But it was not to be. However, congratulations are in order to England for playing as well as they did and getting as fa as they did. Under ordinary circumstances I would congratulate Argentina on their win. But as some people on their side from the Vice President down seem to think they have a colonial claim to the Falkland Islands, which have overwhelmingly voted to stay British, I have this to say to them instead. Winning a football match does not give you any claim on a territory whose inhabitants voted overwhelmingly to stay British. Putting forward claims to other people's territory is dangerous: last time a fascist janta which was running your country tried to win some popularity by sucking up to that kind of pervert...

Good Luck England

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Best of British to the England men's football team in their world cup match against Argentina this evening. PS - I also congratulated Scotland on winning their first World Cup match for many years, and if any other teams from the British Isles were still playing I would be wishing them good luck too.  P.P.S. I gather that England fans have been singing "Rule Britannia ahead of the match with Argentina. This is one match too late. We should have been singing it before and during the match with Norway. That song was specifically written to celebrate the English king who defeated the Viking invaders of England. The song " Rule Britannia " was written as the finale to the opera, " Alfred. "

Labour in their own words

Hat-tip to Edwina Currie for re-posting this comment on Deputy Prime Minister from Labour MP Karl Turner, which he posted on X on 12th July. If Labour MPs say this about one another, what is anyone else to think? "Karl Turner MP @KarlTurnerMP Jul 12 "I’m not happy to have to say this but @DavidLammy has been by far the very worst Justice Secretary that I’ve witnessed in coming up to the 17 years that I’ve been elected to Parliament. That’s saying something because we had the misfortune of witnessing the antics of failing Grayling. Dave has been worse by a country mile. If we’d just not filled the post and done nothing at all in the @MoJGovUK we’d have been much better off for it.  Out of his depth.  Ego the size of Britain but sadly incapable of anything like the work ethic or intellectual ability to do the job. I will be glad to see him return to the backbenches.  He is also a very unpleasant individual. Gobbing off performatively from the security of an office staring d...

Sam Neil RIP

Sorry to see that the great actor Sam Neill has died. He had great roles in so many movies - an unforgettable villain in some, a brilliant and very real hero in others such as his role in the Jurassic Park franchise, where his reaction to the dinosaurs made them seem to much more real. He will be missed. Rest in Peace.

Good Luck England!

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Best of British to the England men's football team in their world cup match this evening. PS - I also congratulated Scotland on winning their first World Cup match for many years, and if any other teams from the British Isles were still playing I would be wishing them good luck too.  P.P.S. When Norway are doing their rowing act celebrating the Vikings, I hope that England fans will respond by singing the English patriotic song which was specifically written to celebrate the English king who defeated the Viking invaders of England. That song is " Rule Britannia " which was originally written as the finale to the opera, " Alfred. "

Quote of the day 11th July 2026

"Twitter today was making me reflect on when the press were befuddled at Tony Benn for going to Enoch Powell's funeral and when one journalist demanded to know why Benn was mourning someone he was at odds with, Benn replied "he was my friend." Shame we don't have more of that." (Posted on X by an account called "History and such.")

Ann Widdecombe RIP

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I was saddened to learn of the death of Ann Widdecombe and horrified to learn that the police are treating her death as murder. A 26-year-old man has been arrested on suspicion of the crime. We don't yet know who killed her or why, and must not rush to conclusions until or unless there is a conviction.  There will be those who say that this suggests we need to review the security of people involved in politicians, and I can see the logic of that, but if you regard someone like Ann as a potential target you are in danger of having to provide protection for the entire political class. It is decades since she was a front bench MP, years since she was an MEP, and although she had some controversial opinions nobody with an ounce of judgement who met her for more than five minutes would consider that she had a malicious bone in her body. I met Ann Widdecombe many years ago when I was a Conservative constituency chairman (the first time) and she visited the association as a front-bench...

Bonnie Tyler RIP

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I have put up the song "I need a hero" so many times, usually with a comic or space fantasy sequence such as Shrek storming the castle in Shrek II or Luke Skywalker carving his way through a platoon of almost invincible (to anyone else) killer robots to rescue the main characters in the season II finale of " The Mandalorian. " But today I am posting it as a tribute to, and with video of, the singer, Bonnie Tyler, who has sadly died at the age of 75. Welsh singer Bonnie Tyler, known for worldwide hits Total Eclipse of the Heart and Holding Out for a Hero , has died aged 75. In a statement, Tyler's family and team confirmed she died "unexpectedly" on Wednesday evening in a hospital in Portugal due to the "illness that she was being treated for". In May, Tyler had been rushed to hospital in Faro, Portugal, for emergency intestinal surgery and placed in an induced coma to aid her recovery. After growing up in a council house in Skewen, so...

Comeback of the month:

Robert Jenrick:    "Nigel Farage had the courage to put himself up for a by-election, which very few people do in politics."   Telegraph interviewer:   "Well, you didn't."    Robert Jenrick:  "Well, quite. Very few people do it."  

Farage vs Binface latest

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  The Clacton by-election is hotting up ... All the Reform groupies who spent the Makerfield by election complaining that it was terrible and was dividing the right and handing victory to Andy Burnham that the Conservatives and Restore put up candidates in that by election ... are now screaming at the top of their voices accusing the Conservatives and Restore of being "Terrified Spineless Chickens" and part of an establishment plot to stop Reform by NOT standing candidates in the Clacton by-election. It is rare, but there are several precedents for major parties deciding not to contest an election. If the Speaker of the House is seeking re-election to that position he or she is not usually opposed. It's a comparatively recent practice which was not in effect at the time the late Ian Gow MP was murdered, but on the last two occasions when an MP was assassinated, (Jo Cox and David Amess) the major parties other than that to which the murdered MP belonged did not stand. Far ...

Quote of the day 9th July 2026

"I will accept Nigel Farage’s request to be appointed Steward and Bailiff of the Manor of Northstead. It is a farce and a desperate distraction, and the people of Clacton deserve better.  But if he wants to spend the summer arguing with a bin, I won't stop h im." Chancellor Rt Hon Rachel Reeves MP The present chancellor is not someone I would normally quote, let alone endorse, but as there has been a lot of controversy about whether she would try to block the Clacton by-election, I thought her statement explaining that she will not do so was of potential interest to readers of this blog.

Conservative motion on prison early release scheme passed.

The Conservatives tabled an Opposition Day motion in the House of Commons calling for convicted rapists, paedophiles, and child sexual exploitation offenders, including grooming gang members, to be excluded from the government's automatic early release scheme and to serve longer custodial terms. The motion was passed by 115 votes to zero-0 with votes from 89 Conservatives, 4 DUP, 3 Greens, 11 Labour MPs, 4 Plaid Cymru, and others. Most Labour MPs, along with Reform UK and the Lib Dems, abstained. The vote is not binding on the government. Ministers indicated they would proceed with the scheme starting after summer recess.

Farage vs Binface latest

Nigel Farage, Leader of Reform UK, has decided to pre-empt the parliamentary inquiry into whether he broke House of Commons Rules by failing to declare a £5 million donation, by "doing a David Davis" and resigning his Clacton seat to fight a by-election. The other parties have criticised this on grounds which range from the sound - for instance, that it's a bit daft to ask voters to endorse Farage's conduct when he has deliberately called a by-election ahead of the investigation - to the rather less sound. It is admittedly a bit of a cheek for Labour to criticise Reform for inflicting the cost and inconvenience of an unnecessary by election on the taxpayer and the voters of Clacton when they have just inflicted the costs of a parliamentary by-election and a Mayoral election on the taxpayer and the voters respectively of Makerfield and Manchester. At the time of posting, it look like none of the other major parties are going to legitimise the by-election by contesting ...

Good luck England

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Best of British to the England men's football team in their world cup match in the early hours of tomorrow morning. PS - I also congratulated Scotland on winning their first World Cup match for many years, and if they were still in the competition at this stage I would be wishing them good luck too. 

Quote of the day 5th July 2026

"Britain must live within its means while making the defence of the realm the highest priority. Strong defence relies on a strong economy. And tax rises will do even more damage to our economy. Burnham must cut welfare to fund defence." Kemi Badenoch

Andrew Neil on a "strange old week" in British Politics

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Nearly always worth listening to Andrew Neil, and he has a regular "The Andrew Neil Report" which you can get as a podcast or in Youtube. Here is yesterday's report on a very strange week, in which Andrew Neil is giving his view in response to questions from viewers and listeners. The question which will probably be of most interest is the very last one, which is posted 53 minutes and 34 seconds into the video, " Which prime minister disappointed you most? " Neil gives a quick masterclass covering fifty years, of all thirteen Prime Ministers from Ted Heath to Sir Keir Starmer, saying whether he had "high hopes" of any of them (he mostly didn't) and whether each in turn disappointed him or surpassed his expectations. There are three Prime Ministerial administrations which he praises as "transformational" or "serious," and met or surpassed his expectations, there is one who he doesn't criticise because the PM concerned did wha...

By-election news

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Here is a summary of the aggregate results of the 53 council by-elections since the May 2026 local elections, compiled by Election Maps UK. Reform UK, who were defending six seats, made five net gains to end up with 11 seats, on an aggregate vote share of 23% The Conservatives, who were defending twelve seats, made net losses of three to end up with nine on an aggregate vote share of 19%. In both cases those net figures include both gains and losses in various directions, including both Conservative gains from Reform UK and Reform UK gains from Conservatives. This should be a corrective both to anyone who goes too far overboard on the "Reform have peaked" narrative - however much I may think it's true, they are still in the lead - but also on the "The Tories are dead/The Tories are no longer a national party" narratives as we had wins in England, Scotland and Wales and are winning too many elections and votes to justify any such conclusion. Essentially the patte...

Quote of the day 3rd July 2026

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"A society that puts equality - in the sense of equality of outcome - ahead of freedom will end up with neither equality or freedom. The use of force to achieve equality will destroy freedom. On the other hand, a society that puts freedom first will, as a happy by-product, end up with both greater freedom and greater equality. Freedom means diversity but also mobility. It preserves the opportunity for today's less well off to become tomorrow's rich, and in the process, enables almost everyone, from top to bottom, to enjoy a richer and fuller life." Milton Friedman

Reform UK loses 120 councillors

According to a social media tracker referenced by the website "The Daily Britain"  here , Reform UK has suffered the loss of 120 councilors. The number of council seats loss is slightly higher as those quitting Reform or resigning their council seas included at least one dual-mandate councillor. The breakdown of losses in the tracker is, quote, " 21 councillors kicked out, 38 defected, six suspended, one disqualified, 50 resigned, and five who lost their seats outright. " The headline says that 120 have gone since May but I think there may be some confusion about May of which year this applies to: the figures for the number of councillors shed by Reform since the May 2026 elections are: " 41 entries: five lost seats, 17 resignations, 13 defections and six suspensions. " I have seen various different figures floating around for exactly how many councillors Reform UK has lost, the differences may be due to factors like some lists including Town and Parish co...

John Connolly in The Spectator on the Treasury's absurd recruitment policy:

There is a shocking allegation in the Spectator that the Treasury is more concerned about "diversity" than numeracy. If there is an atom of truth in the suggestion that HM Treasury removed a Numerical Reasoning Test from the department's graduate scheme in 2020  "due to evidence of the test having adverse impact on candidate diversity" , that is deeply concerning. Diversity is, provided it is applied in a way which is not allowed to conflict with the need to recruit the best people, a good thing. But prioritising it above skills and abilities which are clearly highly relevant to the functioning of a department is indicative of a recruitment policy which is seriously off balance. By the way, this policy was never announced to parliament and very possibly not presented to any minister: the Spectator found out about it trough an FOI request.   Here is an extract from the article by John Connolly: "Whoever enters No. 11 will find themselves dealing with a count...

Midweek Music spot: Vangelis, the "Chariots of Fire" theme

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A glorious piece. Unfortunately, ever since the opening ceremony for the 2012 Olympics I have not been able to listen to this wonderful music without a series of images coming into my head starting with Rowan Atkinson playing the same repetitive note which forms pat of this piece on a keyboard again and again, and finishes with Her late Majesty doing a parachute jump into the stadium with James Bond ... Never mind.