Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:17PM EDT on Aug 10, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Chance of...
Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,761,149 bet so far
REP details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$6,470,589
Polymarket 🌎53.5-54.5%$3,774,823
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.3-59.2%$372,467
Betfair 🇬🇧50.1-52.0%$135,445
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.7-51.8%$7,846

53.7%

-0.9%
DEM details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$6,470,589
Polymarket 🌎45.5-46.5%$3,774,823
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.7-42.7%$372,467
Betfair 🇬🇧48.0-49.9%$135,445
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.8-49.7%$7,846

46.3%

0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:15PM EDT on Aug 10, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$719,089,813 bet so far
Vance details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.6-21.7%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,437,910
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,262,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$248,119

19.6%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.4-12.5%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,437,910
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,262,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$248,119

12.5%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.6-9.7%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-11.4%$1,437,910
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,262,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.2%$248,119

11.2%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.8%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,437,910
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,262,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-11.6%$248,119

10.3%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.4-9.5%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.9-9.0%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,437,910
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-12.0%$1,262,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-11.4%$248,119

9.7%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.6%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.9%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,437,910
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$248,119

3.7%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,437,910
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$248,119

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,437,910
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$248,119

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-3.9%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$248,119

2.6%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.2%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.9%$248,119

2.1%

-0.3%
I_Trump details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$248,119

1.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$248,119

1.0%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.7%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,437,910
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,262,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$248,119

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$680,152,634
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$248,119

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$248,119

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$248,119

0.4%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$248,119

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,119

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,119

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$248,119

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$680,152,634
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$35,988,779
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,119

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$248,119

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$248,119

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$248,119

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Range (Bid-Ask) &nbsp&nbsp&nbsp Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,437,910
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$248,119

0.1%

+0.0%

15.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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